PW Locksmith back again. I hope you read through Teaser Town and tailed me since the teaser cashed last week. I have another teaser for you at the end and will look to improve on my 2-2 ATS record from last week. Additionally, I will be joined by PW T-Ho, as his picks will be listed for this week as well.
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Now here are the winners:
Rams -9.5 vs Giants (over/under: 48.5)
As a Giants fan, this season has not lived up to expectations and things got worse last week. Saquon Barkley sustained an ankle injury and will be sidelined, along with Daniel Jones taking a huge hit that took him out of last week’s game. Danny Dimes was just starting to catch his rhythm and look comfortable leading the offense. Without Saquon and Galloday, their offense will struggle, especially with Jones getting rattled in the last game. The defense has performed terribly compared to the expectations I had coming into this season. Kendarious Toney is the one bright spot, as the rookie WR has shown out recently.
The Rams defense is as good as advertized, other than their loss to the red-hot Cardinals. Whether the Giants have Jones or Mike Glennon under center will not matter, as Aaron Donald will pose a consistent threat to break through the pocket and get to the QB. Jalen Ramsey will likely get the assignment of covering Toney, so his physicality will limit the rookie’s impact on this game. Matt Stafford has been spreading the rock around, especially to Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. This air attack will be unfazed by the Giants secondary, along with Darrel Henderson heading the ground game. The Rams will dominate this game and it pains me to say that they will cover this 9.5 point spread against my Giants.
Chargers vs Ravens -2.5 (over/under: 52)
Justin Herbert led this Chargers team to a win last week against a formidable Browns defense, putting up 47 points in the process. The Bolts’ defense has also had the propensity to give up large point totals to their opposition in the recent weeks. The Ravens defense is simply big names, but not much in-game effectiveness to live up to the hype. Austin Ekeler will be back to his dominance, as the Ravens will have trouble keeping him out of the endzone. The Ravens are certainly capable of putting up big numbers, as they did last week against a good Colts defense. Marquise Brown is tied for second in receiving TDs and Mark Andrews seems revived, coming off of a big performance last week. Latavious Murray has been huge for the Ravens and will continue to sneak into the endzone. This game projects to be an old-fashioned shootout, so I will be taking the Over at 52 points.
Cardinals vs Browns -3 (over/under: 49.5)
The Cardinals are the hottest team in the NFL, as they are the only remaining unbeaten team, so it seems bizarre to see them as an underdog in this matchup. Furthermore, Baker Mayfield has looked bad other than last week’s loss to the Chargers. The Browns offense is carried by their running back tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Cardinals defense will give Baker problems slinging the rock and will focus on limiting the effectiveness of the run game. Kyler Murray should be considered in the early MVP race and is poised to have another huge week. His ability to move around the pocket and create space will mitigate the ability of the Browns pass rush, spearheaded by Myles Garrett. The Cards are 2-0 ATS on the road this season and should make it 3-0, as they should cover +3 with a good chance to remain undefeated.
Bills -5.5 vs Titans (over/under: 54)
The Bills lone blemish on their record is the week one fluke loss to Pittsburgh, and blew out Kansas City last week. The Titans defense is not good to say the least, and will lead to Josh Allen picking it apart from start to finish. Buffalo gives up an average of 78 rushing yards per game, so they have a strong chance of limiting Derrick Henry’s ability to carry the Tennessee offense. Having Julio Jones and AJ Brown in the lineup will make this game moderately interesting, but the Bills will handily cover the 5.5 point spread.
Hello to all, Pickin T-Ho here. If all of you out there get a chance to watch our Pickin Six’ video that is featured in this blog you will see that all of my picks are the same as all of Mr. Locksmith’s. However I do have one more game to add in.
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 @ New England Patriots (O/U 50.5)
The boys from Jerry’s world are looking in prime form as they head to Foxborough this weekend. The Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore has that offense firing on all cylinders. Dak is looking like a whole new man and Zeke is finding the endzone time after time, they truly look like the team their fans have claimed them to be for years. Their defense is looking solid and stout. Players like Micah Parsons are finding all sorts of ways to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Historically the Patriots are great against the spread when at home. This year they are 1-2 covering the spread as the home team and 2-3 overall against the spread. The Cowboys, on the other hand, are a whopping 5-0 against the spread this season and 2-0 as the away team. Their offense is starting to almost double up teams scores. I personally do not think that Mac Jones is where he needs to be in order to go up against a defense like the Cowboys. The Pats defense is also in the bottom half of the league in every major statistical category. For me I think that the Cowboys are an overall better team than the Patriots and that is why I will be going with the Cowboys -3.5 in this one.
LA Rams Spread (9.5 – 6.5 = easily winning by more than a field goal)
Chargers/Ravens Over (52 -6.5 = 45.5)
Arizona Cardinals Spread (+3 + 6.5 = 9.5)
Buffalo Bills Spread (5.5 – 6.5 = +1)
Kansas City Chiefs Spread (6.5 – 6.5 = they just have to win)
Dallas Cowboys Spread (3.5 – 6.5 = +3)